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Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Momentum ETF (MTUM) is not Full of FAANG (Facebook,Apple,Amazon, Netflix and Google)





Because of its name many may assume that the momentum ETF from Ishares (ticker) is top heavy with technology stocks and in particular the FAANG stocks (Facebook,Apple,Amazon,Netflix and Google.

In fact tht is not the case. The methodology setting the components takes into account volatility as well as upward price momentum. That is in contrast to cap weighted indices like the S+P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq (QQQ) and Technology indices (XLK) Although its largest sector is technology(36%)  It only includes one stock: Apple which has the lowest p/e of the group.

Here are the top 20 holdings in Mtum:


Name
Weight (%)
Sector
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
5.2
Financials
MICROSOFT CORP
5.2
Information Technology
APPLE INC
4.75
Information Technology
NVIDIA CORP
4.32
Information Technology
BANK OF AMERICA CORP
4.15
Financials
BOEING
4.05
Industrials
VISA INC CLASS A
3.59
Information Technology
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC
3.59
Health Care
MASTERCARD INC CLASS A
3.17
Information Technology
ABBVIE INC
2.91
Health Care
CITIGROUP INC
2.74
Financials
MCDONALDS CORP
2.38
Consumer Discretionary
HOME DEPOT INC
2.28
Consumer Discretionary
3M
2.27
Industrials
ADOBE SYSTEM INC
2.07
Information Technology
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC
1.99
Information Technology
ABBOTT LABORATORIES
1.63
Health Care
CATERPILLAR INC
1.55
Industrials
TEXAS INSTRUMENT INC
1.44
Information Technology
MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC
1.33
Information Technology


In fact that is not the case. The methodology setting the components takes into account volatility as well as upward price momentum Although its largest sector is technology(36%)  It only includes one stock of the FAANG among its top twenty holdings: Apple which has the lowest p/e of the group.

Mtum actually includes a far smaller % of its holdings in the FAANG stocks than the S+P 500 whose top holdings are below

And not at all surprisingly the Nasdaq has an even higher weighting of FAANG stocks which make up 37% of QQQ (Nasdaq 100 etf)


The technology ETF (XLK) has  31% of its holdings in FAANG  ( and this despite the fact that Amazon and Netflix are in consumer discretionary not technology).

Because of this differential MTUM is far less sensitive to moves in the FAANG stocks..or to any single stock that loses price momentum.

Mtum also puts a sell discipline on investors. As a stock loses upward price momentum it automatically comes out of the MTUM portfoilio
On the other hand whether or not to sell one's exposure to the technology sector either by selling SPY and diversifying into other "smart beta" ETFs, or selling QQQ or XLK leaves the investor with a timing decision. And we know all the behavior pitfalls in market timing and buy/sell decisions. In fact MTUM is "on the opposite side" of the panic sellers since it automatically adjusts and rebalances to reduce holdings of stocks without positive price momentum

As Facebook took its major drop of 7% on March 19 here is what MTUM,SPY,QQQ, and XLK have looked like since March 12 total return chart and bar chart of same data

SPY(green) MTUM(Black), QQQ(gold) XLK (blue)
_______________________________________________

Total Return (top) Volatility (Bottom)



SPY(green) MTUM(Black), QQQ(gold) XLK (blue)


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